This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 58% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 58% to break even | 27%–73% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 58% to break even | 28%–67% | 11 points shortwon 47%, needs 58% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 58% to break even | 35%–88% | 9 points betterwon 67%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 58% to break even | 22%–64% | 16 points shortwon 42%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 9 of 1850%needs 58% to break even | 32%–68% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% |
Tonight CSU plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SDSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H margin in each game against csu 2h +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2H margin | Beat -0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 | -15 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 14 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | AFA | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | -8 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -21 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 14 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | -17 | -16.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.