This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 45% to break even | 5%–56% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 45% to break even | 7%–46% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 45% to break even | 8%–41% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 45% to break even | 12%–65% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 1 of 128%needs 45% to break even | 2%–30% | 36 points shortwon 8%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 3 of 1817%needs 45% to break even | 7%–35% | 28 points shortwon 17%, needs 45% |
Tonight CSU plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SDSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against csu 1h -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 | -24 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -21 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -14 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -24 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 27 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 8 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | AFA | -14 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | -20 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -11 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -21 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -7 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 21 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -18 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -17 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -7 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.