This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 60% to break even | 27%–86% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 60% to break even | 35%–81% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 60% to break even | 46%–83% | 7 points betterwon 67%, needs 60% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 60% to break even | 35%–88% | 7 points betterwon 67%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 60% to break even | 46%–85% | 10 points betterwon 69%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 60% to break even | 50%–83% | 9 points betterwon 68%, needs 60% |
Tonight CONN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
CONN points in each game against over 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | CONN points | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 34 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 41 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 48 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 14 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 56 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 16 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 48 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | AFA | 26 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 37 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 38 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 34 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 38 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 51 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 20 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 41 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 20 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 59 | +28.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 team totalUConn Huskies · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 36% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 30.5 team totalUConn Huskies · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 45% to break even | -23.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 32.5 team totalUConn Huskies · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 34.5 team totalUConn Huskies · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 60% to break even | -26.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.