This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 45% to break even | 5%–56% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 45% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 45% to break even | 17%–54% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 45% to break even | 12%–65% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 45% to break even | 22%–64% | 3 points shortwon 42%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 7 of 1839%needs 45% to break even | 23%–58% | 6 points shortwon 39%, needs 45% |
Tonight KU plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against BAY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against ku 1h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 20 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 30 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -17 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 17 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 22 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 17 | +16.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 game total, KU gamesKansas Jayhawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | LVG-108at LowVig | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.5Not beating its price | |
| KU to win moneylineKansas Jayhawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | PX+126at ProphetX | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 52.5 game total, KU gamesKansas Jayhawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.8Not beating its price | |
| KU +2.5 spreadKansas Jayhawks · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | tS+100at theScore Bet | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.