This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 51% to break even | 39%–78% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 51% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 7 of 1258%needs 51% to break even | 36%–78% | 7 points betterwon 58%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 11 of 1861%needs 51% to break even | 42%–77% | 10 points betterwon 61%, needs 51% |
Tonight COLO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against OKST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against colo +13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -3 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -22 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -34 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 31 | +44.5 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | 1 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -25 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -35 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -46 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -3 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 17 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 24 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -7 | +6.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.5 game total, COLO gamesColorado Buffaloes · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -106at FanDuel | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.9Not beating its price | |
| COLO to win moneylineColorado Buffaloes · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +450at Hard Rock | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 18% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 56.5 game total, COLO gamesColorado Buffaloes · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 50% to break even | -30.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.