This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 51% to break even | 44%–95% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 51% to break even | 41%–90% | 21 points betterwon 71%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 51% to break even | 20%–61% | 12 points shortwon 38%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 51% to break even | 33%–67% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
Tonight UL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 52.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 52.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 39 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 63 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 43 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 41 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 35 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 79 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 45 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 17 | 33 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 57 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 64 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 81 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 53 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 58 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 32 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 38 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 105 | -52.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 65 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 62 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 44 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 26 | +26.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 game total, UL gamesLouisiana Ragin Cajuns · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | -107at Bally Bet | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL to win moneylineLouisiana Ragin Cajuns · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | PX-350at ProphetX | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 78% to break even | -31.9Not beating its price | ||
| UL -10 spreadLouisiana Ragin Cajuns · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | PIN-103at Pinnacle | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -32.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.