This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% | 44.8total points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 52% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% | 52.6total points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 52% to break even | 28%–67% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% | 50.5total points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 52% to break even | 29%–81% | 5 points betterwon 57%, needs 52% | 51total points |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 52% to break even | 15%–54% | 22 points shortwon 31%, needs 52% | 53.3total points |
| Every game | 8 of 2040%needs 52% to break even | 24%–58% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 52.5total points |
Tonight NEB plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against WASH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 12 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 48.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 31 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 37 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 71 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 44 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 41 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 63 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 70 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 66 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 56 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 47 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 49 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 38 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 49 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 30 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 65 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 65 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 57 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 66 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 68 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 37 | +11.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 game total, NEB gamesNebraska Cornhuskers · Sat, Oct 31, 8:00 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 52% to break even9 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEB -9.5 spreadNebraska Cornhuskers · Sat, Oct 31, 8:00 PM ET | -115at FanDuel | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 53% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -24.0Not beating its price | |
| NEB to win moneylineNebraska Cornhuskers · Sat, Oct 31, 8:00 PM ET | -360at FanDuel | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 78% to break even8 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -36.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.