This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 51% to break even | 5%–56% | 31 points shortwon 20%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 51% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 51% to break even | 22%–61% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 51% to break even | 12%–65% | 17 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 51% to break even | 26%–68% | 5 points shortwon 46%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 51% to break even | 26%–61% | 9 points shortwon 42%, needs 51% |
Tonight CIN plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against TTU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 56.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 56.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 87 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 55.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN to win moneylineCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| 41 |
| +15.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 57 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 66 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 72 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 49 | +7.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 48 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 68 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 40 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 54 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 59 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 61 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 66 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 31 | +25.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 68 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 71 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 70 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 54 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 37 | +19.5 | Won |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even |
| -17.0Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Over 57.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 50% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 46% to break even | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 6· this season67%needs 21% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 6.9Good |
| CIN +4.5 spreadCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.5Good |
| CIN +6.5 spreadCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.2Good |
| CIN +5.5 spreadCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 37% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.9Slight |
| CIN +7.5 spreadCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -0.0Not beating its price |
| CIN +8.5 spreadCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -0.8Not beating its price |
| CIN +10.5 spreadCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| CIN +13.5 spreadCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| CIN +0.5 1st half spreadCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| CIN +14.5 spreadCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| CIN +7.5 1st half spreadCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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