This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 48% to break even | 5%–56% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 48% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 48% to break even | 22%–61% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 48% to break even | 12%–65% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 48% to break even | 26%–68% | 2 points shortwon 46%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 48% to break even | 26%–61% | 6 points shortwon 42%, needs 48% |
Tonight CIN plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against TTU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 55.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 55.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 87 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 41 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 57 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 66 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 72 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 49 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 48 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 68 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 40 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 54 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 59 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 61 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 66 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 31 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 68 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 71 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 70 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 54 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 37 | +18.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 55.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -17.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 56.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 57.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 50% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 59.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 46% to break even | -17.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 63.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bearcats · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.