Gophers games under 40.5: 4 of 13

How often it won

This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.

Games	Record	Likely win rate	Compared with the price
Last 5 games	1 of 520%needs 50% to break even	5%–56%	30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50%
Last 10 games	3 of 1030%needs 50% to break even	13%–56%	20 points shortwon 30%, needs 50%
Last 15 games	4 of 1527%needs 50% to break even	13%–48%	23 points shortwon 27%, needs 50%
This season	1 of 617%needs 50% to break even	4%–50%	33 points shortwon 17%, needs 50%
Last season	4 of 1331%needs 50% to break even	15%–54%	19 points shortwon 31%, needs 50%
Every game	5 of 1926%needs 50% to break even	13%–45%	24 points shortwon 26%, needs 50%

Games like tonight

Tonight MINN plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against IOWA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.

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Every book's price

Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.

Iowa Hawkeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers: under 40.519 books

Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.

Every game behind it

Total points in each game against under 40.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.

Date	Opponent	Total points	Beat 40.5 by	Bet
This season
Oct 10	PUR	54	-13.5	Lost
Oct 3	MICH	34	+6.5	Won
Sep 26	WASH	51	-10.5	Lost
Sep 19	AKR	48	-7.5	Lost
Sep 12	MSST	51	-10.5	Lost
Sep 3	EIU	66	-25.5	Lost
Last season
Dec 26	UNM	37	+3.5	Won
Nov 29	WIS	24	+16.5	Won
Nov 22	NU	73	-32.5	Lost
Nov 14	ORE	55	-14.5	Lost
Nov 1	MSU	43	-2.5	Lost
Oct 25	IOWA	44	-3.5	Lost
Oct 17	NEB	30	+10.5	Won
Oct 11	PUR	47	-6.5	Lost
Oct 4	OSU	45	-4.5	Lost
Sep 27	RUTG	59	-18.5	Lost
Sep 13	CAL	41	-0.5	Lost
Sep 6	NWST	66	-25.5	Lost
Aug 28	BUF	33	+7.5	Won

Every number on this bet

The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.

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The opposite bet

The numbers the books are posting on the other side.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score	Details
Over 40.5 game total, MINN gamesMinnesota Golden Gophers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	NV-108at Novig	11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 52% to break even		-3.6Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.

More on Minnesota Golden Gophers in this game

This team's other lines in the game.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score
MINN to win moneylineMinnesota Golden Gophers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	+226at MyBookie	8 of 13· last season62%needs 31% to break even	Record is last season's	4.0Good
MINN +6.5 spreadMinnesota Golden Gophers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	tS+105at theScore Bet	9 of 13· last season69%needs 49% to break even	Record is last season's	-6.5Not beating its price
MINN +0.5 1st half spreadMinnesota Golden Gophers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET	+140at Kalshi	6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even		-10.5Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.