This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 50% to break even | 28%–67% | 4 points shortwon 47%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 50% to break even | 35%–88% | 16 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 6 of 1638%needs 50% to break even | 21%–58% | 13 points shortwon 38%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 10 of 2245%needs 50% to break even | 29%–62% | 5 points shortwon 45%, needs 50% |
Tonight MIA plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PITT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against mia -20, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 20 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 8 | -12 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 28 | +8 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 49 | +29 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 13 | -7 | Lost | |
| Sep 10 | 70 | +50 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 39 | +19 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 19 | -6 | -26 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 4 | -16 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 7 | -13 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 31 | +11 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 17 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 34 | +14 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 28 | +8 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -6 | -26 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 35 | +15 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -3 | -23 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 6 | -14 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 19 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 37 | +17 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 42 | +22 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | -17 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Hurricanes · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.3Not beating its price | |
| MIA to win moneylineMiami Hurricanes · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | PX-1300at ProphetX | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 93% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 48.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Hurricanes · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.