This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 52% to break even | 22%–61% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 52% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 52% to break even | 10%–49% | 27 points shortwon 25%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 7 of 1839%needs 52% to break even | 23%–58% | 13 points shortwon 39%, needs 52% |
Tonight AUB plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against LSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
3Q total points in each game against over 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 3rd quarter totalAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUB +10.5 spreadAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 13 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 21 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 24 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 9 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 21 | +10.5 | Won |
| 9 of 12· last season75%needs 57% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -22.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 62% to break even |
| 11.7Strong |
| AUB +3.5 1st half spreadAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | 9.7Strong |
| AUB +2.5 2nd quarter spreadAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 52% to break even | 9.6Strong |
| AUB +11.5 spreadAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 65% to break even | 9.3Strong |
| AUB +7.5 spreadAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | LVG-109at LowVig | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.4Good |
| AUB +4.5 1st half spreadAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | 5.9Good |
| AUB +2.5 1st half spreadAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 42% to break even | 4.3Good |
| AUB +0.5 1st half spreadAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 42% to break even | 4.3Good |
| AUB +6.5 1st half spreadAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.5Good |
| AUB -0.5 2nd quarter spreadAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 36% to break even | 3.1Good |
| AUB +9.5 spreadAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.3Slight |
| AUB to win moneylineAuburn Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | PX+255at ProphetX | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 28% to break even | Record is this season's | -1.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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