This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 49% to break even | 5%–56% | 29 points shortwon 20%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 49% to break even | 33%–72% | 5 points betterwon 53%, needs 49% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 49% to break even | 12%–65% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 6 of 1250%needs 49% to break even | 29%–71% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 8 of 1844%needs 49% to break even | 27%–63% | 4 points shortwon 44%, needs 49% |
Tonight AUB plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against LSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
AUB points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | AUB points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 39 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 43 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 62 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 33 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 42 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 team totalAuburn Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 61% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 20.5 team totalAuburn Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 23.5 team totalAuburn Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.