This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 52% to break even | 44%–87% | 18 points betterwon 70%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 52% to break even | 39%–78% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 52% to break even | 50%–96% | 31 points betterwon 83%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 8 of 1457%needs 52% to break even | 36%–76% | 5 points betterwon 57%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 52% to break even | 47%–80% | 13 points betterwon 65%, needs 52% |
Tonight BYU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against UCF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against byu -6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYU to win moneylineBYU Cougars · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| 14 |
| +7.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 18 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 11 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 56 | +49.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | -27 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | 20 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 12 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 31 | +24.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -22 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 14 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 14 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 21 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 24 | +17.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 69 | +62.5 | Won |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 71% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -3.5Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, BYU gamesBYU Cougars · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| BYU -0.5 1st half spreadBYU Cougars · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.2Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, BYU gamesBYU Cougars · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 50% to break even | -27.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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