This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 35% to break even | 27%–86% | 25 points betterwon 60%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 35% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 35% to break even | 22%–61% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 35% to break even | 29%–81% | 23 points betterwon 57%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 35% to break even | 16%–57% | 1 points shortwon 33%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 35% to break even | 26%–61% | 8 points betterwon 42%, needs 35% |
Tonight WYO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against AF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against wyo -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 18 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -28 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -22 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -20 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -21 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -17 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 28 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | AFA | -3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -17 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -25 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 24 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.