This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 34% to break even | 27%–86% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 34% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 34% to break even | 13%–48% | 7 points shortwon 27%, needs 34% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 34% to break even | 22%–78% | 16 points betterwon 50%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 2 of 1217%needs 34% to break even | 6%–40% | 17 points shortwon 17%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 5 of 1828%needs 34% to break even | 14%–47% | 6 points shortwon 28%, needs 34% |
Tonight BC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against bc to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -19 | -19 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 22 | +22 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -32 | -32 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -31 | -31 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -41 | -41 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 56 | +56 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.