This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 44% to break even | 0%–35% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 44% to break even | 2%–35% | 34 points shortwon 10%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 44% to break even | 13%–48% | 18 points shortwon 27%, needs 44% |
| This season | 0 of 70%needs 44% to break even | 0%–28% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 6 of 1250%needs 44% to break even | 29%–71% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 44% to break even | 17%–50% | 13 points shortwon 32%, needs 44% |
Tonight WVU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TCU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
WVU points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | WVU points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 45 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 team totalWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU +4.5 spreadWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| 31 |
| -10.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 42 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 52 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 0 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 29 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 45 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 17 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 45 | -24.5 | Lost |
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 63% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -2.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 35% to break even |
| -1.5Not beating its price |
| WVU to win moneylineWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | PX+305at ProphetX | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 25% to break even | Record is this season's | -2.3Not beating its price |
| WVU +5.5 spreadWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 38% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| WVU +6.5 spreadWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 41% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| WVU +7.5 spreadWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price |
| WVU +8.5 spreadWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 game total, WVU gamesWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV+102at Novig | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 50% to break even | -6.9Not beating its price |
| WVU +7.5 1st half spreadWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.6Not beating its price |
| Over 57.5 game total, WVU gamesWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Over 61.5 game total, WVU gamesWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 43% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 game total, WVU gamesWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 45% to break even | -10.0Not beating its price |
| WVU +10.5 spreadWest Virginia Mountaineers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 51% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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