This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% | won by 4.2points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 54% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% | won by 3.6points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 54% to break even | 22%–61% | 14 points shortwon 40%, needs 54% | won by 2.2points |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 54% to break even | 22%–78% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% | won by 3.5points |
| Last season | 6 of 13 |
Tonight TCU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against WVU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1st quarter margin in each game against TCU -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1st quarter margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 32.5 team totalTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET |
| 26%–68% |
| 8 points shortwon 46%, needs 54% |
| won by 2.8points |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 54% to break even | 30%–65% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 54% | won by 3.1points |
| 7 |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | -3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -10 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -6 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| +121at Polymarket |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 45% to break even3 of 9 at home |
| 0.5Slight |
| Under 49.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET | +210at FanDuel | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 32% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | 0.2Slight |
| Under 16.5 1st half team totalTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 46% to break even5 of 9 at home | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Under 50 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 33% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -0.6Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 3rd quarter totalTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 52% to break even5 of 9 at home | -0.8Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET | +190at FanDuel | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 34% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Under 51 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET | +180at Fanatics | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 36% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -2.3Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 37% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Under 57.5 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even4 of 9 at home | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Under 52 game total, TCU gamesTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET | +160at Fanatics | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 38% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -3.7Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 1st half totalTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 47% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -3.7Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 1st quarter totalTCU Horned Frogs · Today 12:00 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 48% to break even7 of 9 at home | -4.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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