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NBAPlayer propPoints
Josh Hart under 9.5 points
Won29 of 86last season · 34%
Best price+159Kalshi
Price needs38.6%wins to break even
Every game29 of 87this season and last
Trend score-16.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 39% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 39% to break even | 0%–73% | 39 points shortwon 0%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 29 of 8634%needs 39% to break even | 26%–42% | 5 points shortwon 34%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 29 of 8733%needs 39% to break even | 26%–42% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 39% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BOS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Josh Hart under 9.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  PHI | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 |  SA | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jun 10 | SA | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jun 8 | SA | 16 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jun 5 | SA | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jun 3 | SA | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| May 25 |  CLE | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 23 | CLE | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 21 | CLE | 26 | -16.5 | Lost |
| May 19 | CLE | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | PHI | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| May 8 | PHI | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 6 | PHI | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| May 4 | PHI | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 30 |  ATL | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | ATL | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | ATL | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | ATL | 2 | +7.5 | Won |
| Apr 20 | ATL | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | ATL | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  TOR | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 |  BOS | 26 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | ATL | 2 | +7.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  CHI | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  MEM | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  HOU | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  OKC | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 26 |  CHA | 16 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 24 |  NO | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 |  WSH | 16 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 |  IND | 33 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 |  GS | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 9 |  LAC | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  LAL | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 |  DEN | 18 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | OKC | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | TOR | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | SA | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 27 |  MIL | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | CLE | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | CHI | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | HOU | 2 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 |  DET | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | PHI | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 | IND | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | BOS | 19 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | DET | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | WSH | 4 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | LAL | 20 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 |  POR | 20 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | TOR | 22 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 |  SAC | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | PHI | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 |  BKN | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 |  DAL | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | GS | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 14 | SAC | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | POR | 18 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | CLE | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 |  MIN | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  MIA | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 | PHI | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 16 | SA | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 |  ORL | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 9 | TOR | 21 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | ORL | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 |  UTAH | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | CHA | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | BOS | 19 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | TOR | 20 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | MIL | 19 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | CHA | 22 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | BKN | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | ORL | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | DAL | 16 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | MIA | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | MIA | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | ORL | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | MEM | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | BKN | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | MIN | 18 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | WSH | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | CHI | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | CHI | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | MIL | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | MIA | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | BOS | 2 | +7.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Josh Hart in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 reboundsJosh Hart · Today 7:10 PM ET |  +124at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 45% to break even | -8.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 assistsJosh Hart · Today 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 56 of 86· last season65%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 threesJosh Hart · Today 7:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 55 of 86· last season64%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 threesJosh Hart · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 31 of 86· last season36%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 assistsJosh Hart · Today 7:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 30 of 86· last season35%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 7.5 reboundsJosh Hart · Today 7:10 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 47 of 86· last season55%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.