This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 33% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 33% to break even | 44%–95% | 47 points betterwon 80%, needs 33% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 863%needs 33% to break even | 35%–84% | 30 points betterwon 63%, needs 33% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1362%needs 33% to break even | 39%–80% | 29 points betterwon 62%, needs 33% |
| This season | 78 of 14454%needs 33% to break even | 47%–61% | 21 points betterwon 54%, needs 33% |
| Last season | 55 of 14039%needs 33% to break even | 33%–46% | 6 points betterwon 39%, needs 33% |
| Every game | 133 of 28447%needs 33% to break even | 42%–52% | 14 points betterwon 47%, needs 33% |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tb -1, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB to win moneylineTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 15 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 13 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 27 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 11 | +10 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 23 | -7 | -8 | Lost | |
| Sep 22 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Sep 22 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 18 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 17 | 9 | +8 | Won | |
| Sep 16 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 15 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 13 | 10 | +9 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 11 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 10 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Sep 8 | 6 | +5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 3 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Sep 2 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Sep 1 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 28 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Aug 26 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 25 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Aug 20 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 18 | -5 | -6 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 16 | -8 | -9 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 14 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 12 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 11 | 8 | +7 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 8 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 7 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 5 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 4 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 3 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 2 | -8 | -9 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 31 | -5 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jul 30 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 29 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Jul 28 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 25 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Jul 24 | 8 | +7 | Won | |
| Jul 23 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 21 | 10 | +9 | Won | |
| Jul 20 | 6 | +5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | -5 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | -10 | -11 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Jul 10 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Jul 9 | -8 | -9 | Lost | |
| Jul 8 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Jul 7 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 6 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jul 4 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jul 3 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 2 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Jul 1 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Jun 30 | 6 | +5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Jun 27 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jun 26 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 11 | +10 | Won | |
| Jun 24 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jun 23 | -7 | -8 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 21 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jun 20 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 19 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Jun 17 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 16 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 15 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Jun 13 | -8 | -9 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 10 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jun 9 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jun 8 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jun 7 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jun 6 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 6 | +5 | Won | |
| Jun 3 | -5 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jun 2 | -8 | -9 | Lost | |
| Jun 1 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| May 30 | -11 | -12 | Lost | |
| May 29 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| May 27 | -9 | -10 | Lost | |
| May 26 | -5 | -6 | Lost | |
| May 25 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 24 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 20 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 19 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| May 18 | 10 | +9 | Won | |
| May 17 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| May 16 | -5 | -6 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| May 13 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 11 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| May 10 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| May 8 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 7 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| May 6 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| May 5 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 4 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| May 3 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 2 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| May 1 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 27 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 26 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | -5 | -6 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 17 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Apr 16 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Apr 14 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 10 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | -7 | -8 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 6 | +5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 29 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 28 | -9 | -10 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 25 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 16 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 12 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Sep 10 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 7 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Sep 2 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 1 | 8 | +7 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 27 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 26 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Aug 25 | 9 | +8 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 21 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Aug 20 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | -10 | -11 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 13 | 6 | +5 | Won | |
| Aug 12 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Aug 11 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Aug 8 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 6 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 5 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 4 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Aug 3 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | -5 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jul 30 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 29 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jul 28 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 27 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -5 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jul 23 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 21 | -5 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jul 20 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 18 | 10 | +9 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 10 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Jul 8 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jul 7 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Jul 6 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 4 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 2 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 1 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 30 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 8 | +7 | Won | |
| Jun 27 | -14 | -15 | Lost | |
| Jun 26 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Jun 24 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Jun 22 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Jun 21 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Jun 20 | 6 | +5 | Won | |
| Jun 19 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jun 18 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Jun 17 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Jun 16 | 6 | +5 | Won | |
| Jun 15 | 9 | +8 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Jun 13 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jun 11 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 10 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jun 9 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jun 7 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jun 6 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jun 5 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jun 4 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jun 3 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Jun 1 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 13 | +12 | Won | |
| May 30 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 29 | 10 | +9 | Won | |
| May 28 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| May 27 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 26 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| May 25 | 13 | +12 | Won | |
| May 24 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 23 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 21 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| May 20 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 19 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 18 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| May 16 | -5 | -6 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| May 14 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 11 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 9 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 8 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 7 | -7 | -8 | Lost | |
| May 6 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 3 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 2 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| May 1 | -6 | -7 | Lost | |
| Apr 30 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 24 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 22 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | -4 | -5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 17 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Apr 16 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 15 | +14 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | -10 | -11 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 8 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 7 | +6 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| 105 of 171· this season61%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 6.1Good |
| TB +0.5 first 5 innings spreadTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 112 of 171· this season65%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | 4.8Good |
| Over 2.5 team totalTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 125 of 171· this season73%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | 2.7Slight |
| Over 7 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET | +150at BetMGM | 86 of 148· this season58%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET | +190at FanDuel | 83 of 162· last season51%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.9Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET | +112at BetRivers | 109 of 171· this season64%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 team totalTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 96 of 171· this season56%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Over 6 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET | LVG-107at LowVig | 101 of 142· last season71%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET | -132at BetRivers | 121 of 162· last season75%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Over 5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET | -190at Fanatics | 121 of 148· last season82%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET | +252at Kalshi | 32 of 171· this season19%needs 28% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Rays · Today 8:00 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 41% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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