This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 75% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 75% to break even | 44%–95% | 5 points betterwon 80%, needs 75% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 75% to break even | 44%–87% | 5 points shortwon 70%, needs 75% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 75% to break even | 52%–87% | 2 points shortwon 73%, needs 75% |
| This season | 80 of 12465%needs 75% to break even | 57%–71% | 10 points shortwon 65%, needs 75% |
| Last season | 105 of 15966%needs 75% to break even | 60%–72% | 9 points shortwon 66%, needs 75% |
| Every game |
Tonight MIL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Walks in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 walksChristian Yelich |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 home runsChristian Yelich |
| 61%–70% |
| 10 points shortwon 65%, needs 75% |
| Date | Opponent | Walks | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 2 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 22 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 3 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 7 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 27 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +220at Caesars |
| 44 of 124· this season35%needs 31% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -14.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +18000at BetRivers |
| 3 of 159· last season2%needs 1% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -0.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 stolen basesChristian Yelich · Today 8:00 PM ET | +700at FanDuel | 17 of 159· last season11%needs 13% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.4Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 home runsChristian Yelich · Today 8:00 PM ET | +850at BetRivers | 26 of 159· last season16%needs 11% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 RBIsChristian Yelich · Today 8:00 PM ET | +229at Kalshi | 57 of 159· last season36%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 hits + runs + RBIsChristian Yelich · Today 8:00 PM ET | +250at FanDuel | 52 of 159· last season33%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 total basesChristian Yelich · Today 8:00 PM ET | +205at Bovada | 48 of 124· this season39%needs 33% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIsChristian Yelich · Today 8:00 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 79 of 159· last season50%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 hitsChristian Yelich · Today 8:00 PM ET | -168at DraftKings | 103 of 159· last season65%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 runsChristian Yelich · Today 8:00 PM ET | +167at DraftKings | 56 of 124· this season45%needs 37% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 total basesChristian Yelich · Today 8:00 PM ET | -170at Fanatics | 103 of 159· last season65%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 total basesChristian Yelich · Today 8:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 99 of 159· last season62%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 runsChristian Yelich · Today 8:00 PM ET | -200at BetMGM | 93 of 159· last season58%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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