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MLBPlayer propHome runs
Chandler Simpson over 0.5 home runs
Won0 of 5last 5 games · 0%
Best price+4000BetRivers
Price needs2.4%wins to break even
Every game0 of 265this season and last
Trend score-2.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 2% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 2% to break even | 0%–35% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 2% to break even | 0%–21% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 2% to break even | 0%–15% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| This season | 0 of 1570%needs 2% to break even | 0%–2% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| Last season | 0 of 1080%needs 2% to break even | 0%–2% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
| Every game | 0 of 2650%needs 2% to break even | 0%–1% | 2 points shortwon 0%, needs 2% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Chandler Simpson over 0.5 home runs9 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Home runs in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Home runs | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 19 |  CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 15 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 13 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 |  PHI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 24 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 22 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 22 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 18 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 17 |  ATH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 16 | ATH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 | ATH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  HOU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | HOU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | HOU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 10 |  ATL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 9 | ATL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 8 | ATL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  TEX | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | TEX | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 4 | TEX | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 3 | TEX | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 2 |  NYM | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 1 | NYM | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | NYM | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  SD | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | SD | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | SD | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 26 |  DET | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 25 | DET | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | DET | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 |  BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 21 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 20 |  TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 15 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 14 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 11 | ATH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 10 | ATH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 9 |  SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 8 | SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 7 | SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 5 |  COL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 4 | COL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 3 | COL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 2 |  CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 1 | CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 31 | CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 29 | TEX | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 28 | TEX | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 26 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 24 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 23 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 21 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 20 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 19 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 18 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 17 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 12 | SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 11 | SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 10 | SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 9 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 8 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 7 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 6 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 5 | HOU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 2 |  KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 1 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 30 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 28 |  ARI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 27 | ARI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 25 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 24 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 23 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 22 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 21 |  WSH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 20 | WSH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 19 | WSH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 17 |  LAD | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 16 | LAD | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 14 |  LAA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 13 | LAA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 12 | LAA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 10 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 9 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 6 |  MIA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 5 | MIA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 3 | DET | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 2 | DET | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 1 | DET | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 31 | LAA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 30 | LAA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 29 | LAA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 27 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 26 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 25 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 24 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 22 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 20 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 19 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 18 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | MIA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 16 | MIA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 15 | MIA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 13 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 11 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 8 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 7 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 6 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 5 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 4 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 3 |  SF | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | SF | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 1 | SF | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 29 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 |  MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 24 | MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 |  CIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | CIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 20 | CIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 |  PIT | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | PIT | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 17 | PIT | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 16 | CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 15 | CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 14 | CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 11 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 |  CHC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | CHC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | CHC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 | MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 | MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 | MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 |  MIL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 31 | MIL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 | MIL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  STL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 | STL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 26 | STL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 27 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 24 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 23 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 18 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 17 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 16 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | CHC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | CHC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | CHC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 10 | CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 9 | CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 4 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 3 | SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 2 | SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 1 | SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | WSH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | WSH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | WSH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 27 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 26 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 25 | CLE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | STL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | STL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 21 | STL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 20 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | SF | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | SF | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 15 | SF | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 13 | ATH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 12 | ATH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 11 | ATH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 10 | SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 9 | SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 8 | SEA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 6 | LAA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 5 | LAA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 31 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 30 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 29 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 28 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 27 | CIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 | CIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 23 | CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 21 | CHW | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 20 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 19 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 18 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 13 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 11 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 10 | BOS | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 9 | DET | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 8 | DET | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 7 | DET | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 6 | MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 5 | MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 4 | MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 2 | ATH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 1 | ATH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 30 | ATH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 29 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 28 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 27 | BAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 26 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 25 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 24 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 29 | HOU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 28 | MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 27 | MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 26 | MIN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 25 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 24 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 23 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 21 | HOU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 19 | HOU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | MIA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 16 | MIA | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 15 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 14 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 13 | TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 11 | MIL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | MIL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | MIL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 8 | PHI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 7 | PHI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 6 | PHI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 4 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 3 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 1 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 30 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 29 | KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 | SD | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | SD | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | SD | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 24 | ARI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | ARI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | ARI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 20 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | NYY | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Chandler Simpson in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.