This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 55% to break even | 35%–81% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 55% to break even | 46%–83% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 55% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 55% to break even | 41%–90% | 17 points betterwon 71%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 23 of 3468%needs 55% to break even | 54%–79% | 13 points betterwon 68%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 28 of 4168%needs 55% to break even | 56%–79% | 14 points betterwon 68%, needs 55% |
Tonight LYON plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against PSG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | NAN | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | METZ | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | NAN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | METZ | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, LYON gamesLyon · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 34· last season32%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYON to win moneylineLyon · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | +529at Kalshi | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 16% to break even | Record is last season's | 14.1Strong | |
| LYON +1.5 spreadLyon · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 31 of 34· last season91%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | 13.8Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.