This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 57% to break even | 65%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 57% to break even | 65%–98% | 33 points betterwon 90%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 57% to break even | 75%–98% | 37 points betterwon 93%, needs 57% |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 57% to break even | 72%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 31 of 3491%needs 57% to break even | 80%–96% | 34 points betterwon 91%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 38 of 4193%needs 57% to break even | 83%–97% | 36 points betterwon 93%, needs 57% |
Tonight LYON plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against PSG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against lyon +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYON to win moneylineLyon · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | NAN | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | METZ | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | NAN | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | METZ | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| 18 of 34· last season53%needs 16% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 14.1Strong |
| Under 3.5 game total, LYON gamesLyon · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, LYON gamesLyon · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 15 of 34· last season44%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, LYON gamesLyon · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 34· last season32%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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