This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 49% to break even | 44%–95% | 31 points betterwon 80%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 49% to break even | 54%–93% | 31 points betterwon 80%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 49% to break even | 46%–83% | 18 points betterwon 67%, needs 49% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 49% to break even | 41%–90% | 23 points betterwon 71%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 21 of 3462%needs 49% to break even | 48%–74% | 13 points betterwon 62%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 26 of 4163%needs 49% to break even | 51%–75% | 15 points betterwon 63%, needs 49% |
Tonight LILL plays on the road, as the underdog, against MON. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, LILL gamesLille · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LILL to win moneylineLille · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | NAN | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | METZ | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | METZ | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | NAN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| 13 of 34· last season38%needs 54% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -35.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, LILL gamesLille · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +202at Polymarket | 7 of 34· last season21%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 25% to break even |
| 6.8Good |
| LILL +0.5 spreadLille · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -125at BetUS | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 56% to break even | 0.9Slight |
| Over 0.5 team totalLille · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -270at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 73% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalLille · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +193at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 34% to break even | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalLille · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +222at Polymarket | 10 of 34· last season29%needs 31% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalLille · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -245at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 71% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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