This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 65% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points shortwon 60%, needs 65% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 771%needs 65% to break even | 41%–90% | 6 points betterwon 71%, needs 65% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 771%needs 65% to break even | 41%–90% | 6 points betterwon 71%, needs 65% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 65% to break even | 41%–90% | 6 points betterwon 71%, needs 65% |
| Every game | 5 of 771%needs 65% to break even | 41%–90% | 6 points betterwon 71%, needs 65% |
Tonight TRY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against TOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, TRY gamesTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRY to win moneylineTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |
| 8 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Aug 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| 3 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped43%needs 61% to break even |
| -25.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, TRY gamesTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 38% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 1 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped14%needs 19% to break even |
| -9.8Not beating its price |
| TRY +1 spreadTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | LVG-129at LowVig | 2 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped29%needs 56% to break even | -29.5Not beating its price |
| TRY +1.5 spreadTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 2 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped29%needs 66% to break even | -35.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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