This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 729%needs 39% to break even | 10%–59% | 11 points shortwon 29%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 729%needs 39% to break even | 10%–59% | 11 points shortwon 29%, needs 39% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 39% to break even | 10%–59% | 11 points shortwon 29%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 2 of 729%needs 39% to break even | 10%–59% | 11 points shortwon 29%, needs 39% |
Tonight TRY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against TOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, TRY gamesTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 4 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped57%needs 42% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3.5 game total, TRY gamesTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 5 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped71%needs 65% to break even | -17.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 team totalTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 4 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped57%needs 37% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price | ||
| TRY to win moneylineTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +434at Polymarket | 1 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped14%needs 19% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 0.5 team totalTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -204at Polymarket | 3 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped43%needs 67% to break even | -29.4Not beating its price | ||
| TRY +1 spreadTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | LVG-129at LowVig | 2 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped29%needs 56% to break even | -29.5Not beating its price | ||
| TRY +1.5 spreadTroyes · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 2 of 7· last 10 games, 3 skipped29%needs 65% to break even | -34.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.