This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 450%needs 50% to break even | 18%–82% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% | 3.2total goals |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 838%needs 50% to break even | 16%–65% | 12 points shortwon 38%, needs 50% | 2.6total goals |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1136%needs 50% to break even | 18%–61% | 13 points shortwon 36%, needs 50% | 2.7total goals |
| This season | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% | 2.7total goals |
| Last season | 14 of 24 |
Tonight SAN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TIJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 12 of 16 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, SAN gamesSantos Laguna · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAN to win moneylineSantos Laguna · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET |
| 42%–73% |
| 9 points betterwon 58%, needs 50% |
| 3.2total goals |
| Every game | 18 of 3453%needs 50% to break even | 39%–66% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% | 3total goals |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 26 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 22 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 27 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 15 | MAZ | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Feb 6 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | MAZ | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 16 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| +134at Kalshi |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 43% to break even4 of 23 on the road |
| -17.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, SAN gamesSantos Laguna · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | LVG-133at LowVig | 7 of 11· last 15 games, 4 skipped64%needs 57% to break even4 of 16 on the road | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, SAN gamesSantos Laguna · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 67% to break even11 of 23 on the road | -20.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 29% to break even3 of 23 on the road |
| 2.4Slight |
| Both teams score: No, SAN gamesSantos Laguna · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 42% to break even8 of 23 on the road | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalSantos Laguna · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 41% to break even10 of 23 on the road | -6.7Not beating its price |
| SAN +0.5 spreadSantos Laguna · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | PIN-118at Pinnacle | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even6 of 23 on the road | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Draw, SAN gamesSantos Laguna · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | +296at Kalshi | 5 of 34· last season15%needs 25% to break even3 of 23 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, SAN gamesSantos Laguna · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 64% to break even15 of 23 on the road | Record is last season's | -35.2Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalSantos Laguna · Tomorrow 11:10 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 67% to break even13 of 23 on the road | Record is last season's | -35.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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