This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 29% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 29% to break even | 65%–100% | 71 points betterwon 100%, needs 29% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 29% to break even | 35%–81% | 31 points betterwon 60%, needs 29% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 29% to break even | 28%–67% | 18 points betterwon 47%, needs 29% |
| This season | 6 of 1346%needs 29% to break even | 26%–68% | 18 points betterwon 46%, needs 29% |
| Last season | 9 of 3426%needs 29% to break even | 16%–40% | 2 points shortwon 26%, needs 29% |
| Every game | 15 of 4732%needs 29% to break even | 22%–44% | 3 points betterwon 32%, needs 29% |
Tonight SAN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TIJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against san to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAN +0.5 spreadSantos Laguna · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET |
| Margin |
|---|
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 26 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | MAZ | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | MAZ | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even |
| -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, SAN gamesSantos Laguna · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 14 of 34· last season41%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, SAN gamesSantos Laguna · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 46% to break even | -20.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, SAN gamesSantos Laguna · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET | -160at BetMGM | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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