This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 61% to break even | 27%–86% | 1 points shortwon 60%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 61% to break even | 27%–73% | 11 points shortwon 50%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 61% to break even | 33%–72% | 7 points shortwon 53%, needs 61% |
| This season | 7 of 1354%needs 61% to break even | 32%–74% | 7 points shortwon 54%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 24 of 3471%needs 61% to break even | 57%–82% | 10 points betterwon 71%, needs 61% |
| Every game | 31 of 4766%needs 61% to break even | 54%–76% | 5 points betterwon 66%, needs 61% |
Tonight SAN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TIJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, SAN gamesSantos Laguna · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAN to win moneylineSantos Laguna · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | MAZ | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 6 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | MAZ | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 46% to break even |
| -20.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, SAN gamesSantos Laguna · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 67% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 29% to break even |
| 2.4Slight |
| SAN +0.5 spreadSantos Laguna · Sun, Oct 25, 11:00 PM ET | PIN-118at Pinnacle | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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