This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 57% to break even | 44%–95% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 57% to break even | 65%–98% | 33 points betterwon 90%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1385%needs 57% to break even | 63%–95% | 28 points betterwon 85%, needs 57% |
| This season | 11 of 1385%needs 57% to break even | 63%–95% | 28 points betterwon 85%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 11 of 1385%needs 57% to break even | 63%–95% | 28 points betterwon 85%, needs 57% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ATL goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalAtlante FC · Tomorrow 11:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlante FC · Tomorrow 11:00 PM ET |
| 4 |
| -2.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 1 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| 2 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped15%needs 48% to break even |
| -32.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even |
| -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlante FC · Tomorrow 11:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 2 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped15%needs 34% to break even | -21.8Not beating its price |
| ATL to win moneylineAtlante FC · Tomorrow 11:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 43% to break even | -24.1Not beating its price |
| ATL -0.5 spreadAtlante FC · Tomorrow 11:00 PM ET | +129at BetUS | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 44% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlante FC · Tomorrow 11:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 5 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped38%needs 56% to break even | -29.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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