This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 44% to break even | 7%–46% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1323%needs 44% to break even | 10%–46% | 21 points shortwon 23%, needs 44% |
| This season | 3 of 1323%needs 44% to break even | 10%–46% | 21 points shortwon 23%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 3 of 1323%needs 44% to break even | 10%–46% | 21 points shortwon 23%, needs 44% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against atl -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalAtlante FC · Today 11:00 PM ET |
| 2 |
| +1.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jul 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 16 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 56% to break even |
| 1.4Slight |
| Under 2.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlante FC · Today 11:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlante FC · Today 11:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 2 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped15%needs 34% to break even | -21.8Not beating its price |
| ATL to win moneylineAtlante FC · Today 11:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 44% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlante FC · Today 11:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 5 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped38%needs 56% to break even | -29.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalAtlante FC · Today 11:00 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 2 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped15%needs 48% to break even | -32.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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