This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 29% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 29% to break even | 27%–86% | 31 points betterwon 60%, needs 29% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 29% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points betterwon 40%, needs 29% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 29% to break even | 22%–61% | 11 points betterwon 40%, needs 29% |
| This season | 5 of 1338%needs 29% to break even | 20%–61% | 9 points betterwon 38%, needs 29% |
| Last season | 7 of 4018%needs 29% to break even | 10%–29% | 12 points shortwon 18%, needs 29% |
Tonight GDL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MTY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 26 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Guadalajara game, newest first: whether it ended level.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDL PK spreadGuadalajara · Today 9:00 PM ET |
| Every game | 12 of 5323%needs 29% to break even | 15%–33% | 7 points shortwon 23%, needs 29% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 20 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 10 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 26 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 22 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| May 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 13 | Draw | Won | |
| May 9 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 2 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 18 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | MAZ | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | Draw | Won | |
| Nov 8 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | MAZ | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 23 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 17 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| 5 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped83%needs 49% to break even11 of 19 on the road |
| -2.1Not beating its price |
| GDL to win moneylineGuadalajara · Today 9:00 PM ET | +218at Kalshi | 21 of 40· last season53%needs 31% to break even11 of 26 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, GDL gamesGuadalajara · Today 9:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 9 of 13· this season69%needs 47% to break even12 of 26 on the road | Record is this season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, GDL gamesGuadalajara · Today 9:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 19 of 40· last season48%needs 42% to break even10 of 26 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalGuadalajara · Today 9:00 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 22 of 40· last season55%needs 39% to break even12 of 26 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, GDL gamesGuadalajara · Today 9:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 14 of 40· last season35%needs 34% to break even8 of 26 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalGuadalajara · Today 9:00 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 9 of 13· this season69%needs 64% to break even14 of 26 on the road | Record is this season's | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, GDL gamesGuadalajara · Today 9:00 PM ET | PIN-105at Pinnacle | 25 of 40· last season63%needs 51% to break even14 of 26 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, GDL gamesGuadalajara · Today 9:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 21 of 40· last season53%needs 61% to break even16 of 26 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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