This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 43% to break even | 17%–54% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| This season | 4 of 1331%needs 43% to break even | 15%–54% | 13 points shortwon 31%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 22 of 4055%needs 43% to break even | 42%–67% | 12 points betterwon 55%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 26 of 5349%needs 43% to break even | 38%–60% | 6 points betterwon 49%, needs 43% |
Tonight GDL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MTY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
GDL goals in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalGuadalajara · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDL 0 spreadGuadalajara · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | GDL goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | MAZ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | MAZ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 9 of 13· this season69%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -20.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped83%needs 48% to break even |
| -1.7Not beating its price |
| GDL to win moneylineGuadalajara · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | PIN+194at Pinnacle | 21 of 40· last season53%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, GDL gamesGuadalajara · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 13· this season69%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, GDL gamesGuadalajara · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 14 of 40· last season35%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, GDL gamesGuadalajara · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | PRX-134at betPARX | 25 of 40· last season63%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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