This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 48% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 48% to break even | 7%–46% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 48% to break even | 8%–41% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| This season | 2 of 1315%needs 48% to break even | 5%–37% | 32 points shortwon 15%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 22 of 3858%needs 48% to break even | 45%–70% | 10 points betterwon 58%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 24 of 5147%needs 48% to break even | 36%–58% | 1 points shortwon 47%, needs 48% |
Tonight JUA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against NCX. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against jua +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUA to win moneylineFC Juárez · Today 9:00 PM ET |
| Beat -0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | MAZ | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | MAZ | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 11 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 12 of 38· last season32%needs 23% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.8Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalFC Juárez · Today 9:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 6 of 13· this season46%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, JUA gamesFC Juárez · Today 9:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, JUA gamesFC Juárez · Today 9:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 44% to break even | -19.0Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, JUA gamesFC Juárez · Today 9:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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