This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 23% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 23% to break even | 5%–56% | 3 points shortwon 20%, needs 23% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 23% to break even | 2%–35% | 13 points shortwon 10%, needs 23% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 23% to break even | 5%–33% | 9 points shortwon 13%, needs 23% |
| This season | 1 of 138%needs 23% to break even | 2%–28% | 15 points shortwon 8%, needs 23% |
| Last season | 12 of 3832%needs 23% to break even | 21%–45% | 9 points betterwon 32%, needs 23% |
| Every game | 13 of 5125%needs 23% to break even | 17%–37% | 3 points betterwon 25%, needs 23% |
Tonight JUA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against NCX. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against jua to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | MAZ | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | MAZ | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 11 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.