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Won17 of 41last season · 41%
Best price+198Kalshi
Price needs33.6%wins to break even
Every game21 of 54this season and last
Trend score-14.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 34% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 34% to break even | 13%–56% | 4 points shortwon 30%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 34% to break even | 13%–48% | 7 points shortwon 27%, needs 34% |
| This season | 4 of 1331%needs 34% to break even | 15%–54% | 3 points shortwon 31%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 17 of 4141%needs 34% to break even | 30%–54% | 8 points betterwon 41%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 21 of 5439%needs 34% to break even | 29%–50% | 5 points betterwon 39%, needs 34% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UNAM plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against UANL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Tigres @ Pumas: over 3.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  SAN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 16 |  ATL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  CAZ | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  ASL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  ATS | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  GDL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 10 |  LEO | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 |  TIJ | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 |  NCX | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 |  QRO | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jul 31 |  JUA | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jul 21 |  TOL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jul 18 |  PAC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | CAZ | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 21 | CAZ | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | PAC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 14 | PAC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 10 |  AME | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 3 | AME | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | PAC | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | JUA | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 17 | ASL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 | MAZ | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | GDL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | AME | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | CAZ | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 | NCX | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | TOL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 27 | TIJ | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  MTY | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 13 |  PUE | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | ATS | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 | SAN | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | LEO | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 14 |  UANL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | QRO | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | PAC | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | CAZ | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | TIJ | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | LEO | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | ASL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | MTY | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | GDL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | AME | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 23 | JUA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | UANL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | MAZ | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | ATS | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | PUE | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | TOL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 10 | NCX | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 25 | QRO | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 20 | PAC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jul 12 | SAN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, UNAM gamesPumas · Sat, Oct 24, 11:00 PM ET |  +101at Kalshi | 21 of 41· last season51%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Pumas in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNAM to win moneylinePumas · Sat, Oct 24, 11:00 PM ET |  +175at Fanatics | 16 of 41· last season39%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| UNAM 0 spreadPumas · Sat, Oct 24, 11:00 PM ET | PIN-102at Pinnacle | 16 of 26· last season62%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.