This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 36% to break even | 5%–56% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 36% to break even | 7%–46% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 36% to break even | 13%–48% | 10 points shortwon 27%, needs 36% |
| This season | 4 of 1331%needs 36% to break even | 15%–54% | 6 points shortwon 31%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 16 of 4139%needs 36% to break even | 28%–52% | 3 points betterwon 39%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 20 of 5437%needs 36% to break even | 27%–48% | 1 points betterwon 37%, needs 36% |
Tonight UNAM plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against UANL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against unam to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jul 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 18 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | MAZ | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | MAZ | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 20 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.