This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 944%needs 47% to break even | 22%–70% | 2 points shortwon 44%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 944%needs 47% to break even | 22%–70% | 2 points shortwon 44%, needs 47% |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 47% to break even | 22%–70% | 2 points shortwon 44%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 4 of 944%needs 47% to break even | 22%–70% | 2 points shortwon 44%, needs 47% |
Tonight MCF plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ALA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against mcf +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCF to win moneylineMálaga · Today 3:00 PM ET |
| Sep 13 |
| 0 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 19 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 18% to break even |
| -11.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, MCF gamesMálaga · Today 3:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 6 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped67%needs 55% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalMálaga · Today 3:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalMálaga · Today 3:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 4 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped44%needs 45% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, MCF gamesMálaga · Today 3:00 PM ET | +110at BetUS | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 48% to break even | -21.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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