This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 50% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points shortwon 47%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 50% to break even | 22%–70% | 5 points shortwon 44%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 16 of 3842%needs 50% to break even | 30%–55% | 7 points shortwon 42%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 20 of 4743%needs 50% to break even | 31%–55% | 7 points shortwon 43%, needs 50% |
Tonight ELC plays on the road, as the underdog, against RAY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, ELC gamesElche CF · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELC +0.5 spreadElche CF · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | GIR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | OVI | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | MLL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 13 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | MLL | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | GIR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | OVI | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 22 of 38· last season58%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -19.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 23 of 38· last season61%needs 48% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -7.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalElche CF · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 AM ET | +257at Polymarket | 4 of 9· this season44%needs 28% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.1Not beating its price |
| ELC to win moneylineElche CF · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 AM ET | +375at Hard Rock | 10 of 38· last season26%needs 21% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 team totalElche CF · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 AM ET | -195at Polymarket | 33 of 38· last season87%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalElche CF · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 AM ET | +162at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 38% to break even | -24.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalElche CF · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 AM ET | -299at Polymarket | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 75% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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