This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 48% to break even | 44%–95% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 48% to break even | 35%–81% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 48% to break even | 39%–78% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
| This season | 5 of 956%needs 48% to break even | 30%–78% | 8 points betterwon 56%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 23 of 3861%needs 48% to break even | 47%–72% | 13 points betterwon 61%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 28 of 4760%needs 48% to break even | 48%–71% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
Tonight ELC plays on the road, as the underdog, against RAY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against elc +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 15 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | GIR | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | OVI | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | MLL | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | MLL | -2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | GIR | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | OVI | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.