This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 66% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points shortwon 60%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 66% to break even | 35%–81% | 6 points shortwon 60%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 66% to break even | 22%–61% | 26 points shortwon 40%, needs 66% |
| This season | 5 of 956%needs 66% to break even | 30%–78% | 11 points shortwon 56%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 10 of 3826%needs 66% to break even | 16%–39% | 40 points shortwon 26%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 15 of 4732%needs 66% to break even | 22%–44% | 34 points shortwon 32%, needs 66% |
Tonight RMA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, RMA gamesReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMA to win moneylineReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 26 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | OVI | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | GIR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 | MLL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | GIR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | MLL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | OVI | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 28 of 38· last season74%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -3.4Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 game total, RMA gamesReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 31 of 38· last season82%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 27 of 38· last season71%needs 24% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 25.8Very strong |
| RMA +1 spreadReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET | PIN-105at Pinnacle | 32 of 35· last season91%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | 19.3Very strong |
| RMA +1.5 spreadReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 35 of 38· last season92%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | 14.2Strong |
| Over 1.5 team totalReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 51% to break even | -30.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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