This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 4100%needs 51% to break even | 60%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 8100%needs 51% to break even | 75%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1392%needs 51% to break even | 72%–98% | 41 points betterwon 92%, needs 51% |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 51% to break even | 72%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 32 of 3591%needs 51% to break even | 80%–97% | 40 points betterwon 91%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 39 of 4293%needs 51% to break even | 83%–97% | 42 points betterwon 93%, needs 51% |
Tonight RMA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against rma +1, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMA to win moneylineReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 15 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 3 | +4 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 30 | 4 | +5 | Won | |
| Aug 26 | 3 | +4 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| May 17 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| May 14 | OVI | 2 | +3 | Won |
| May 10 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | GIR | 0 | +1 | Won |
| Apr 4 | MLL | -1 | 0 | Tie |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | +4 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 14 | 3 | +4 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 4 | +5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | -2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 3 | +4 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | GIR | 0 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 4 | +5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -3 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 23 | 3 | +4 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | MLL | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Aug 24 | OVI | 3 | +4 | Won |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| 27 of 38· last season71%needs 24% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 25.8Very strong |
| Under 3.5 game total, RMA gamesReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 28 of 38· last season74%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 game total, RMA gamesReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 31 of 38· last season82%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 game total, RMA gamesReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET | +118at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 52% to break even | -31.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, RMA gamesReal Madrid · Sun, Oct 25, 4:00 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 66% to break even | -36.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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