This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 51% to break even | 65%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 51% to break even | 65%–98% | 39 points betterwon 90%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1486%needs 51% to break even | 65%–95% | 34 points betterwon 86%, needs 51% |
| This season | 9 of 9100%needs 51% to break even | 77%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 23 of 3077%needs 51% to break even | 62%–87% | 25 points betterwon 77%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 32 of 3982%needs 51% to break even | 70%–90% | 31 points betterwon 82%, needs 51% |
Tonight BAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against RMA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against bar -1, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 16 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 27 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 5 | +4 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 13 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 2 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 16 | GIR | -1 | -2 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | MLL | 3 | +2 | Won |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | OVI | 3 | +2 | Won |
| Jan 18 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 4 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | GIR | 1 | 0 | Tie |
| Oct 5 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 25 | OVI | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 6 | +5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 16 | MLL | 3 | +2 | Won |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.