This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 633%needs 53% to break even | 12%–65% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 19 of 2966%needs 53% to break even | 50%–78% | 12 points betterwon 66%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 21 of 3462%needs 53% to break even | 48%–74% | 9 points betterwon 62%, needs 53% |
Tonight ATM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DEP. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 16 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 17 | GIR | 1 | +2 | Won |
| May 12 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| May 9 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| May 2 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 22 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | OVI | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Feb 21 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | MLL | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Jan 18 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | GIR | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Dec 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | OVI | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 27 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 7 | -4 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | MLL | 2 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3 game total, ATM gamesAtlético Madrid · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | PIN-101at Pinnacle | 4 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped67%needs 50% to break even | -20.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATM to win moneylineAtlético Madrid · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | PIN-337at Pinnacle | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 77% to break even | -24.9Not beating its price | ||
| ATM -1.5 spreadAtlético Madrid · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | -130at BetUS | 4 of 9· this season44%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.