This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 57% to break even | 14%–73% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 57% to break even | 19%–65% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 57% to break even | 17%–54% | 23 points shortwon 33%, needs 57% |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 57% to break even | 22%–70% | 12 points shortwon 44%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 10 of 3826%needs 57% to break even | 16%–39% | 30 points shortwon 26%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 14 of 4730%needs 57% to break even | 20%–42% | 27 points shortwon 30%, needs 57% |
Tonight ATM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DEP. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against atm -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 16 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | GIR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | OVI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | MLL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | GIR | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | OVI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | MLL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3 game total, ATM gamesAtlético Madrid · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | PIN-101at Pinnacle | 4 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped67%needs 50% to break even | -20.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3 game total, ATM gamesAtlético Madrid · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | PIN-113at Pinnacle | 19 of 29· last season66%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price | |
| ATM to win moneylineAtlético Madrid · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | PIN-337at Pinnacle | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 77% to break even | -24.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.