This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 40%needs 52% to break even | 0%–40% | 52 points shortwon 0%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 838%needs 52% to break even | 16%–65% | 14 points shortwon 38%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1338%needs 52% to break even | 20%–61% | 13 points shortwon 38%, needs 52% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 52% to break even | 10%–59% | 23 points shortwon 29%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 16 of 3250%needs 52% to break even | 36%–64% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 18 of 3946%needs 52% to break even | 34%–59% | 6 points shortwon 46%, needs 52% |
Tonight RSO plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LEV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, RSO gamesReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSO -0.5 spreadReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET |
| Date |
|---|
| Opponent |
|---|
| Total goals |
|---|
| Beat 3 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 7 | -4 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 7 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 3 | 0 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 26 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| May 17 | 7 | -4 | Lost | |
| May 14 | GIR | 2 | +1 | Won |
| May 9 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 6 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | MLL | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Feb 21 | OVI | 6 | -3 | Lost |
| Feb 14 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 9 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | GIR | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Dec 6 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 5 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 19 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 24 | MLL | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 30 | OVI | 1 | +2 | Won |
| Aug 24 | 4 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even |
| -13.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, RSO gamesReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET | +100at BetUS | 4 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped100%needs 50% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, RSO gamesReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 40% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even |
| -28.3Not beating its price |
| RSO to win moneylineReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET | -140at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even | -29.2Not beating its price |
| RSO -1.5 spreadReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 38· last season13%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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