This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 57% to break even | 44%–95% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 57% to break even | 27%–73% | 7 points shortwon 50%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 57% to break even | 17%–54% | 24 points shortwon 33%, needs 57% |
| This season | 5 of 956%needs 57% to break even | 30%–78% | 2 points shortwon 56%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 11 of 3829%needs 57% to break even | 19%–42% | 28 points shortwon 29%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 16 of 4734%needs 57% to break even | 24%–46% | 23 points shortwon 34%, needs 57% |
Tonight RSO plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LEV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against rso -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, RSO gamesReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 26 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | GIR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | MLL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | OVI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 14 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | GIR | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | MLL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | OVI | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 40% to break even |
| -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3 game total, RSO gamesReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET | +100at BetUS | 4 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped100%needs 50% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, RSO gamesReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, RSO gamesReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 16 of 38· last season42%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.1Not beating its price |
| RSO to win moneylineReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET | -140at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even | -29.2Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, RSO gamesReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET | PIN-108at Pinnacle | 16 of 32· last season50%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, RSO gamesReal Sociedad · Sun, Oct 25, 1:30 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 22 of 38· last season58%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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