This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 53% to break even | 13%–56% | 23 points shortwon 30%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 53% to break even | 22%–61% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 933%needs 53% to break even | 14%–60% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 17 of 3845%needs 53% to break even | 32%–58% | 9 points shortwon 45%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 20 of 4743%needs 53% to break even | 31%–55% | 11 points shortwon 43%, needs 53% |
Tonight CEL plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against BET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, CEL gamesCelta Vigo · Sun, Oct 25, 11:15 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEL 0 spreadCelta Vigo · Sun, Oct 25, 11:15 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 3 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 27 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | OVI | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | GIR | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | MLL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 14 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | OVI | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | GIR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | MLL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even |
| -9.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 14 of 26· last season54%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.8Not beating its price |
| CEL to win moneylineCelta Vigo · Sun, Oct 25, 11:15 AM ET | PIN+194at Pinnacle | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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