This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 34% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 34% to break even | 13%–56% | 4 points shortwon 30%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 34% to break even | 17%–54% | 1 points shortwon 33%, needs 34% |
| This season | 2 of 922%needs 34% to break even | 8%–50% | 12 points shortwon 22%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 14 of 3837%needs 34% to break even | 25%–50% | 3 points betterwon 37%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 16 of 4734%needs 34% to break even | 24%–46% | evenwon 34%, needs 34% |
Tonight CEL plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against BET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against cel to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 27 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | OVI | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | GIR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | MLL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | OVI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | GIR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | MLL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, CEL gamesCelta Vigo · Sun, Oct 25, 11:15 AM ET | PIN+102at Pinnacle | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price | ||
| CEL 0 spreadCelta Vigo · Sun, Oct 25, 11:15 AM ET | PIN+116at Pinnacle | 14 of 26· last season54%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 game total, CEL gamesCelta Vigo · Sun, Oct 25, 11:15 AM ET | PIN-114at Pinnacle | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.